Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.001427 0.001520 0.001615 0.001721 0.001835 0.001954 0.002089
2024-10-13 0.001301 0.001428 0.001563 0.001720 0.001895 0.002086 0.002310
2024-10-20 0.001185 0.001332 0.001493 0.001684 0.001905 0.002153 0.002455
2024-10-27 0.001111 0.001274 0.001457 0.001679 0.001942 0.002247 0.002627
2024-11-03 0.001021 0.001190 0.001383 0.001623 0.001913 0.002257 0.002697
2024-11-10 0.000982 0.001162 0.001372 0.001637 0.001966 0.002363 0.002885
2024-11-17 0.000933 0.001118 0.001339 0.001622 0.001979 0.002420 0.003010
2024-11-24 0.000904 0.001098 0.001331 0.001636 0.002029 0.002521 0.003196
2024-12-01 0.000858 0.001053 0.001292 0.001608 0.002020 0.002547 0.003282
2024-12-08 0.000822 0.001020 0.001264 0.001593 0.002028 0.002593 0.003395
2024-12-15 0.000791 0.000991 0.001241 0.001581 0.002039 0.002642 0.003512
2024-12-22 0.000768 0.000970 0.001227 0.001581 0.002064 0.002709 0.003658
2024-12-29 0.000736 0.000940 0.001202 0.001569 0.002076 0.002766 0.003799
2025-01-05 0.000712 0.000919 0.001188 0.001569 0.002105 0.002847 0.003981
2025-01-12 0.000677 0.000882 0.001151 0.001537 0.002088 0.002863 0.004066
2025-01-19 0.000655 0.000861 0.001135 0.001533 0.002108 0.002931 0.004232
2025-01-26 0.000618 0.000819 0.001088 0.001482 0.002060 0.002896 0.004239
2025-02-02 0.000605 0.000809 0.001085 0.001495 0.002104 0.003000 0.004465
2025-02-09 0.000585 0.000787 0.001065 0.001482 0.002108 0.003042 0.004595
2025-02-16 0.000574 0.000779 0.001063 0.001495 0.002152 0.003148 0.004832
2025-02-23 0.000551 0.000754 0.001036 0.001469 0.002136 0.003157 0.004912
2025-03-02 0.000534 0.000735 0.001018 0.001456 0.002138 0.003196 0.005041
2025-03-09 0.000518 0.000718 0.001002 0.001445 0.002144 0.003241 0.005182